Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 October 2024, Tuesday


	Alexei Popyrin		Grigor Dimitrov

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.21	1.67	Watch
	2.29	1.69
	2.19	1.71	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.68	Watch
	2.21	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.37)	1.68 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
43.2%

Grigor Dimitrov
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexei Popyrin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grigor Dimitrov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Alexei Popyrin - Grigor Dimitrov Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Dimitrov will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dimitrov: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Popyrin is ranked ATP: 24. Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 10.

Recent matches Popyrin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dimitrov is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dimitrov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Dimitrov to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Popyrin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Shanghai
05.10.24	Alexei Popyrin - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.24	Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
15.09.24	Alexei Popyrin - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
12.09.24	Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired ✺
10.09.24	Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLW?L
- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Shanghai
07.10.24	Zizou Bergs - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Grigor Dimitrov	Canceled ✺
ATP Laver Cup
20.09.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Francis Tiafoe	Dimitrov G. retired ✺
01.09.24	Andrey Rublev - Grigor Dimitrov	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 W?W?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Alexei Popyrin	1:2
ATP US Open
01.09.21	Grigor Dimitrov - Alexei Popyrin	Dimitrov G. retired
ATP Melbourne Murray River Open
05.02.21	Alexei Popyrin - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2

Alexei Popyrin - Grigor Dimitrov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide