Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday


	Alexei Popyrin		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.3	1.6	Watch
	2.35	1.6	Watch
	1.98	1.81	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.22	1.68	Watch
	2.35	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (3.3)	1.65 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
42.2%

Ugo Humbert
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

71.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexei Popyrin's performance.

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ugo Humbert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexei Popyrin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ugo Humbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48%	0%	52%

Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 12 - 50%). Humbert will win (votes: 12 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 30% – 70%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ugo Humbert will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Popyrin is ranked ATP: 28. Humbert is ranked ATP: 20.

Two players are playing changeable.

Humbert will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Popyrin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Alexei Popyrin - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Marcos Giron - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Zizou Bergs - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.25	Alexei Popyrin - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
24.02.25	Alexei Popyrin - Hady Habib	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLW
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Joao Fonseca - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Kei Nishikori - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
25.02.25	Jiri Lehecka - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
10.09.24	Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert	0:2
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.19	Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert	3:1

Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide