Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1
Denmark	Eurosport 1
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Italy	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Poland	Eurosport 1
Portugal	Eurosport 1
Romania	Eurosport 1
Spain	Eurosport 1
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Turkey	Eurosport 1
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+
Usa	ESPN USA
World	Eurosport 1


	Grigor Dimitrov		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.6	2.36
	1.62	2.45
	1.63	2.39	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.65	2.31	Watch
	1.6	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.65)	2.36 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grigor Dimitrov
59.4%

Francis Tiafoe
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grigor Dimitrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.5%	0%	47.5%

Grigor Dimitrov - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Dimitrov will win (votes: 29 - 52.7%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 26 - 47.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dimitrov: 39.5% – 65.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 9. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 20.

Dimitrov is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tiafoe is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dimitrov will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dimitrov won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP US Open
01.09.24	Andrey Rublev - Grigor Dimitrov	2:3 ✺
30.08.24	Tallon Griekspoor - Grigor Dimitrov	0:3 ✺
28.08.24	Rinky Hijikata - Grigor Dimitrov	0:3 ✺
26.08.24	Kyrian Jacquet - Grigor Dimitrov	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.24	Fabian Marozsan - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWL
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP US Open
01.09.24	Francis Tiafoe - Alexei Popyrin	3:1 ✺
30.08.24	Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe	2:3 ✺
28.08.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Francis Tiafoe	Shevchenko A. retired ✺
26.08.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe	1:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
19.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
09.07.23	Francis Tiafoe - Grigor Dimitrov	0:3
ATP Australian Open
19.01.19	Francis Tiafoe - Grigor Dimitrov	3:1
ATP Laver Cup
21.09.18	Francis Tiafoe - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2
ATP Toronto
09.08.18	Grigor Dimitrov - Francis Tiafoe	2:1

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