Match Info

Date: 4 May 2021, Tuesday


	Alexei Popyrin		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.06	1.76	Watch
	2.04	1.72
	2.2	1.75
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.21	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.96)	1.74 ↓ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
45.4%

Jan-Lennard Struff
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexei Popyrin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jan-Lennard Struff, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.2%	0%	80.8%

Alexei Popyrin - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Users Predictions: Jan-Lennard Struff will win (59 of 73 users predict this - 80.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 89.85%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Popyrin is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Struff is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Popyrin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Madrid
02.05.21	Arthur Cazaux - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
01.05.21	Federico Coria - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
26.04.21	John Millman - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
ATP Belgrade
22.04.21	Alexei Popyrin - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
20.04.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLW
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Munich
02.05.21	Jan-Lennard Struff - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
01.05.21	Ilya Ivashka - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
30.04.21	Filip Krajinovic - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
29.04.21	Dominik Koepfer - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
27.04.21	Andrej Martin - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWWW

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