The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alexey Vatutin 42.7%
August Holmgren 57.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54%
46%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.5%
42.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Vatutin's form might have worsened.
August Holmgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting August Holmgren's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for August Holmgren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
0%
62.5%
Alexey Vatutin - August Holmgren Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Vatutin will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Holmgren will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Holmgren: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Vatutin is ranked ATP: 340.Holmgren is ranked ATP: 197.
Vatutin is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Holmgren is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Holmgren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Watch
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