Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rovereto (Italy), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 November 2024, Monday


	Jules Marie		August Holmgren

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.85	1.36
	3	1.34	Watch
	3.04	1.4
			Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.99	1.36	Watch
	3	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.5)	1.36 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jules Marie
31%

August Holmgren
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jules Marie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jules Marie's form might have worsened.

August Holmgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting August Holmgren's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jules Marie than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jules Marie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for August Holmgren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Jules Marie - August Holmgren Predictions

Users Predictions: August Holmgren will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marie is ranked ATP: 275. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 194.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Marie could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Holmgren is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jules Marie
ITF Tournaments
16.11.24	Jules Marie - Francisco Rocha	0:2 ✺
12.11.24	Jules Marie - Goncalo Marques	2:0 ✺
31.10.24	Stuart Parker - Jules Marie	2:0 ✺
29.10.24	Mark Ceban - Jules Marie	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.10.24	Jules Marie - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLWL
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
12.11.24	Borna Coric - August Holmgren	2:1 ✺
07.11.24	Luca Nardi - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
06.11.24	August Holmgren - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	August Holmgren - Egor Gerasimov	Canceled ✺
ATP Stockholm
13.10.24	August Holmgren - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLW?L

Jules Marie - August Holmgren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide