Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lesa, clay - 1/16-finalsDate: 19 August 2025, Tuesday
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Alexey Vatutin |
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Lorenzo Carboni |
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- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alexey Vatutin 65.6% | Lorenzo Carboni 34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexey Vatutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+4.5%)Alexey Vatutin - Lorenzo Carboni Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Vatutin is ranked ATP: 320. Carboni is ranked ATP: 563.Vatutin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Carboni's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Carboni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Vatutin might have a minor edge in this game. Recently, the players have not faced each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;