Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bloomfield Hills, hard - Final

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Alex Michelsen		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.50	2.78
	1.45	2.56	Watch
	1.47	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.45	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.47)	2.64 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
64.5%

Jacob Fearnley
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alex Michelsen - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Michelsen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 44. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 121.

Both players have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Michelsen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Michelsen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Michelsen will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Michelsen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Michelsen - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 62.78%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
25.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Dhakshineswar Suresh	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Aidan Mayo	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Arthur Gea	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWW?
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
25.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Michael Zheng	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Jeffrey John Wolf	2:1 ✺
23.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Alex Michelsen - Jacob Fearnley	2:3

Alex Michelsen - Jacob Fearnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide