Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday


	Jacob Fearnley		Mark Lajal

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.50	2.40
	1.46	2.63	Watch
	1.56	2.58
	1.55	2.27	Watch
	1.54	2.50	Watch
	1.48	2.47	Watch
	1.50	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)	2.46 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
61.9%

Mark Lajal
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Mark Lajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Jacob Fearnley - Mark Lajal Predictions

Users Predictions: Jacob Fearnley will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jacob Fearnley will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 159. Lajal is ranked ATP: 164.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fearnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fearnley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Jacob Fearnley - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.53%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Jaume Munar	0:3 ✺
30.06.26	Alex Michelsen - Jacob Fearnley	2:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
23.06.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Jacob Fearnley	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Jacob Fearnley - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LW?LW
- Mark Lajal
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Mark Lajal - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Mark Lajal - Ugo Blanchet	Canceled ✺
13.06.26	Mark Lajal - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Arthur Gea - Mark Lajal	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Mark Lajal - Michael Zheng	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 L?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.06.24	Mark Lajal - Jacob Fearnley	0:2

Jacob Fearnley - Mark Lajal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide