Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday


	Darwin Blanch		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
			Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.45	1.47	Watch
	2.69	1.51
	2.44	1.49	Watch
	2.65	1.49
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.41)	1.49 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darwin Blanch
37.3%

Jacob Fearnley
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darwin Blanch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darwin Blanch than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Darwin Blanch - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Blanch is ranked ATP: 224. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 159.

Blanch is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fearnley has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fearnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Blanch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darwin Blanch
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Garrett Johns - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Murphy Cassone - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Darwin Blanch	Blanch Dar. Retired ✺
22.06.26	Darwin Blanch - Ugo Blanchet	Canceled ✺
22.06.26	Darwin Blanch - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WW??W
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Stefan Kozlov	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Jaume Munar	0:3 ✺
30.06.26	Alex Michelsen - Jacob Fearnley	2:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
23.06.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Jacob Fearnley	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Darwin Blanch - Jacob Fearnley	0:2

Darwin Blanch - Jacob Fearnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide