Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 5 (Portugal), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday


	Alexis Galarneau		Valentin Royer

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.78	2.11
	1.74	2.05	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.64	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.84)	2.06 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
54.5%

Valentin Royer
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Alexis Galarneau - Valentin Royer Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Galarneau will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Royer will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Royer: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Galarneau is ranked ATP: 198. Royer is ranked ATP: 209.

Galarneau is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Royer is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Galarneau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexis Galarneau - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 52.33%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
23.01.25	Marton Fucsovics - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
21.01.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
17.01.25	Alexander Ritschard - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
16.01.25	Alexis Galarneau - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW
- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
23.01.25	Valentin Royer - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
22.01.25	Valentin Royer - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
08.01.25	Thiago Monteiro - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Valentin Royer - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
29.12.24	Pavel Kotov - Valentin Royer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL

Alexis Galarneau - Valentin Royer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide