Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25+H RODEZ (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Alexis Gautier		Marvin Moeller

	1	2
	2.5	1.45
	2.4	1.5
	2.64	1.47
	2.5	1.5
	2.58	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.79)	1.47 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Gautier
36.6%

Marvin Moeller
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Gautier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Marvin Moeller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Gautier than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexis Gautier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marvin Moeller could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Gautier is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moeller is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Gautier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moeller will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Moeller to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Gautier
ITF Tournaments
13.10.23	Alexis Gautier - Amaury Raynel	2:0 ✺
12.10.23	Alexis Gautier - Arthur Bouquier	2:0 ✺
11.10.23	Alexis Gautier - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.10.23	Svyatoslav Gulin - Alexis Gautier	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Alexis Gautier - Jules Marie	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLL
- Marvin Moeller
ITF Tournaments
13.10.23	Marvin Moeller - Aidan McHugh	2:0 ✺
12.10.23	Marvin Moeller - Axel Garcian	2:0 ✺
11.10.23	Marvin Moeller - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Alec Deckers - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW

Alexis Gautier - Marvin Moeller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide