Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Paris, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2025, Monday


	Aliaksandra Sasnovich		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.84	2
	1.8	1.97	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.1)	1.88 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
50.4%

Maria Lourdes Carle
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliaksandra Sasnovich's performance.

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Lourdes Carle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sasnovich will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Carle will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aliaksandra Sasnovich will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sasnovich is ranked WTA: 99. Carle is ranked WTA: 122.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sasnovich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Roma
05.05.25	Katie Volynets - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Rebeka Masarova	1:2 ✺
01.05.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Carlota Martinez Cirez	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Emiliana Arango	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWW
- Maria Lourdes Carle
WTA Roma
05.05.25	Maya Joint - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
24.04.25	Linda Noskova - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Rebecca Sramkova	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Bernarda Pera - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Daria Snigur - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWW

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