Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guangzhou 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Yuta Shimizu		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.38	1.50	Watch
	2.73	1.39	Watch
	2.30	1.54
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.72)	1.51 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Shimizu
38.6%

Alibek Kachmazov
61.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Alibek Kachmazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Yuta Shimizu - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shimizu is ranked ATP: 393., and Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 525..

Shimizu has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Kachmazov shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Shimizu could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Kachmazov is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Kachmazov in today's match, at odds of 1.4.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
18.10.26	Yuta Shimizu - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Yuta Shimizu - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Yuta Shimizu - Philip Sekulic	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Arthur Weber - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLL
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Fajing Sun - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
08.10.26	Evan Zhu - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Mili Poljicak - Yuta Shimizu	✺

Yuta Shimizu - Alibek Kachmazov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Yuta Shimizu - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Preview

Form

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