Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Suzhou, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Suzhou 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Aliona Falei		Rebecca Sramkova

	1	2
	2.50	1.50	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.35	1.56
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.50	1.51
	2.54	1.52	Watch
	2.45	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.02)	1.53 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliona Falei
38.5%

Rebecca Sramkova
61.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliona Falei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aliona Falei's form might have worsened.

Rebecca Sramkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rebecca Sramkova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliona Falei than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rebecca Sramkova than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Aliona Falei - Rebecca Sramkova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Falei is ranked WTA: 220., and Sramkova is ranked WTA: 152..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Falei may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Sramkova is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Falei has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Rebecca Sramkova - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.16%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliona Falei
ATP Challenger
08.10.26	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Aliona Falei	Oliynykova O. Retired ✺
05.10.26	Hanyu Guo - Aliona Falei	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Aliona Falei	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	Aliona Falei - Sara Sorribes Tormo	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Aliona Falei - Kristiana Sidorova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 ?WLWW
- Rebecca Sramkova
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Rebecca Sramkova - Claire Liu	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Alevtina Ibragimova - Rebecca Sramkova	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
28.09.26	Rebecca Sramkova - Jodie Anna Burrage	0:2 ✺
WTA Singapore
21.09.26	Rebecca Sramkova - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
24.08.26	Rebecca Sramkova - Alevtina Ibragimova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.02.24	Rebecca Sramkova - Aliona Falei	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliona Falei
WTA Chennai
31.10.26	Aliona Falei - Ekaterina Yashina	✺

Aliona Falei - Rebecca Sramkova