Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday


	Hernan Casanova		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
			Watch
	3.1	1.3	Watch
			Watch
	3.8	1.27	Watch
	3.05	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.78)	1.28 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hernan Casanova
27.2%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hernan Casanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hernan Casanova's form might have worsened.

Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alvaro Guillen Meza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Hernan Casanova - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guillen Meza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Alvaro Guillen Meza will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Casanova is ranked ATP: 356. Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 197.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Casanova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Casanova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hernan Casanova
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Hernan Casanova - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Luis Guto Miguel	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Wilson Leite	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Emilio Camacho - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
11.11.25	Sebastian Baez - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.02.25	Hernan Casanova - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2
17.02.24	Hernan Casanova - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2

Hernan Casanova - Alvaro Guillen Meza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide