Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Thiago Seyboth Wild

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.73	2
	1.72	2.16
	1.55	2.36	Watch
			Watch
	1.69	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.57)	2.12 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
55.7%

Thiago Seyboth Wild
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Thiago Seyboth Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Seyboth Wild than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Thiago Seyboth Wild Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Seyboth Wild will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Carballes Baena (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roberto Carballes Baena will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Carballes Baena (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 110. Seyboth Wild is ranked ATP: 148.

Carballes Baena is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Seyboth Wild is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Carballes Baena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Carballes Baena could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carballes Baena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
20.09.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Hynek Barton - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Sandro Kopp - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Dennis Novak - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWW?
- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Thiago Seyboth Wild	Canceled ✺
13.09.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Lorenzo Carboni	Canceled ✺
25.08.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 L?L?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
12.02.22	Roberto Carballes Baena - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0

Upcoming Matches