Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Alycia Parks		Darya Kasatkina

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.75	1.26
	3.9	1.26	Watch
	4.25	1.25
	3.48	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.81	1.27	Watch
	3.9	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.5)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alycia Parks
24.9%

Darya Kasatkina
75.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

72.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

74.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alycia Parks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alycia Parks than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Alycia Parks - Darya Kasatkina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Kasatkina (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Kasatkina (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Darya Kasatkina will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Darya Kasatkina will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Parks (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Kasatkina (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Parks is ranked WTA: 53. Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 14.

Two players are playing changeable.

Kasatkina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kasatkina is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Parks won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alycia Parks
WTA Madrid
23.04.25	Alycia Parks - Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	2:0 ✺
WTA Rouen
15.04.25	Camilla Rosatello - Alycia Parks	2:0 ✺
WTA Bogota
01.04.25	Iva Jovic - Alycia Parks	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Alycia Parks	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Varvara Gracheva - Alycia Parks	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLW
- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Charleston
03.04.25	Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin	0:2 ✺
02.04.25	Darya Kasatkina - Lauren Davis	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.25	Darya Kasatkina - Hailey Baptiste	1:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.25	Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
29.08.23	Darya Kasatkina - Alycia Parks	2:1

Alycia Parks - Darya Kasatkina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide