Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Darya Kasatkina		Hailey Baptiste

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.4	2.85	Watch
	1.4	2.89	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	2.97	Watch
	1.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.5)	2.88 ↑ (2.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Kasatkina
67.2%

Hailey Baptiste
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Hailey Baptiste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Darya Kasatkina - Hailey Baptiste Predictions

Users Predictions: Darya Kasatkina will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 12. Baptiste is ranked WTA: 98.

Kasatkina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Baptiste is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Baptiste could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kasatkina is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Baptiste to win the game is with odds 2.88.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kasatkina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.25	Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin	2:1 ✺
WTA Dubai
17.02.25	Darya Kasatkina - Sorana Cirstea	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
12.02.25	Darya Kasatkina - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Darya Kasatkina - Elina Avanesyan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLW
- Hailey Baptiste
WTA Miami
18.03.25	Olga Danilovic - Hailey Baptiste	1:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.25	Danielle Collins - Hailey Baptiste	2:1 ✺
05.03.25	Hailey Baptiste - Whitney Osuigwe	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Hailey Baptiste - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Hailey Baptiste - Ena Shibahara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Seoul
19.09.24	Darya Kasatkina - Hailey Baptiste	2:0

Darya Kasatkina - Hailey Baptiste: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide