Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Charleston, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday


	Darya Kasatkina		Sofia Kenin

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.72	2.09	Watch
	1.72	2.11	Watch
	1.73	2.12	Watch
	1.72	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.9)	2.1 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Kasatkina
54.9%

Sofia Kenin
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Sofia Kenin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darya Kasatkina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sofia Kenin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	0%	19%

Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Kenin (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Darya Kasatkina will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Darya Kasatkina will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasatkina (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Kenin (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 12. Kenin is ranked WTA: 44.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kasatkina won 3.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kenin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Kasatkina won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Charleston
02.04.25	Darya Kasatkina - Lauren Davis	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.25	Darya Kasatkina - Hailey Baptiste	1:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.25	Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin	2:1 ✺
WTA Dubai
17.02.25	Darya Kasatkina - Sorana Cirstea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWL
- Sofia Kenin
WTA Charleston
02.04.25	Sofia Kenin - Belinda Bencic	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Sofia Kenin - Bernarda Pera	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.25	Cori Gauff - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Petra Kvitova - Sofia Kenin	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.25	Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
08.03.25	Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin	2:1
WTA Tokyo
25.10.24	Sofia Kenin - Darya Kasatkina	2:0
WTA US Open
31.08.23	Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin	2:1
WTA Sydney
10.01.22	Sofia Kenin - Darya Kasatkina	0:2
WTA Dubai
19.02.19	Sofia Kenin - Darya Kasatkina	2:1
WTA Miami
23.03.18	Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin	1:2

Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide