Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Anastasia Potapova		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.74
	2.1	1.83
	2.06	1.74	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.12	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.18)	1.76 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anastasia Potapova
45.6%

Jelena Ostapenko
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anastasia Potapova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anastasia Potapova than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	0%	35.3%

Anastasia Potapova - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Potapova will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Potapova: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Potapova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Potapova is ranked WTA: 56. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 40.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ostapenko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Potapova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anastasia Potapova
WTA Madrid
21.04.26	Anastasia Potapova - Sinja Kraus	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Anastasia Potapova - Teodora Kostovic	2:0 ✺
WTA Rouen
14.04.26	Anna Blinkova - Anastasia Potapova	Canceled ✺
WTA Linz
12.04.26	Mirra Andreeva - Anastasia Potapova	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Anastasia Potapova - Donna Vekic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LW?LW
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Madrid
24.04.26	Simona Waltert - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
15.04.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Mirra Andreeva	1:2 ✺
WTA Linz
10.04.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Elena Gabriela Ruse	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Alexandra Eala	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
23.03.26	Hailey Baptiste - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
10.05.24	Anastasia Potapova - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2
WTA Birmingham
24.06.23	Anastasia Potapova - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2

Anastasia Potapova - Jelena Ostapenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide