Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Hailey Baptiste		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.92	1.99
	1.94	1.86	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.91	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.09)	1.9 ↑ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hailey Baptiste
49.8%

Jelena Ostapenko
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hailey Baptiste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hailey Baptiste that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelena Ostapenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Hailey Baptiste - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Baptiste will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Baptiste (votes: 2 - 50%). Ostapenko (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Baptiste is ranked WTA: 45. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 24.

Baptiste is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ostapenko has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ostapenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hailey Baptiste
WTA Miami
22.03.26	Elina Svitolina - Hailey Baptiste	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Hailey Baptiste - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Hailey Baptiste - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.26	Hailey Baptiste - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
05.03.26	Emiliana Arango - Hailey Baptiste	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWLW
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Miami
22.03.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Jasmine Paolini	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Dayana Yastremska	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
09.03.26	Jessica Pegula - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Katie Volynets - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
16.02.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Anna Kalinskaya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWL

Hailey Baptiste - Jelena Ostapenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide