Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Newport - Qualification, grass - Final

Date: 7 July 2026, Tuesday


	Andre Ilagan		Alex Rybakov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.71	2.00	Watch
	1.74	2.10
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.03
	1.71	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.85)	2.05 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andre Ilagan
54.8%

Alex Rybakov
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andre Ilagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Alex Rybakov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Andre Ilagan - Alex Rybakov Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ilagan will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Rybakov will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakov (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Ilagan is ranked ATP: 263. Rybakov is ranked ATP: 432.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ilagan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ilagan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Andre Ilagan - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
05.07.26	Andre Ilagan - Connor Plunkett	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
07.06.26	Adam Walton - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Karl Poling - Andre Ilagan	1:2 ✺
05.06.26	Andre Ilagan - Yuta Shimizu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWW
- Alex Rybakov
ATP Challenger
05.07.26	Alex Rybakov - Tung-Lin Wu	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Alex Rybakov - Hiroki Moriya	Rybakov A. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.06.26	Alex Rybakov - Bruno Kuzuhara	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.05.26	Alex Rybakov - Timo Legout	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.05.26	Alex Rybakov - Joaquim Almeida	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 W?L?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.09.25	Alex Rybakov - Andre Ilagan	2:0
01.07.25	Alex Rybakov - Andre Ilagan	0:2

Andre Ilagan - Alex Rybakov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide