Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuxi, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Andre Ilagan		Dane Sweeny

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.62	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.7)	1.44 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andre Ilagan
35.7%

Dane Sweeny
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andre Ilagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Andre Ilagan - Dane Sweeny Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ilagan will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sweeny will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ilagan is ranked ATP: 332. Sweeny is ranked ATP: 135.

Ilagan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sweeny's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ilagan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Dane Sweeny - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.69%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
05.05.26	Jason Jung - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
04.05.26	Andre Ilagan - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Andre Ilagan - Linang Xiao	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Andre Ilagan - James McCabe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLW
- Dane Sweeny
ATP Challenger
04.05.26	Rigele Te - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Alexis Galarneau - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Dane Sweeny - James McCabe	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Dane Sweeny - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Ilya Ivashka - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWL

Andre Ilagan - Dane Sweeny: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide