Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jiujiang, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday


	Alexis Galarneau		Dane Sweeny

	1	2
	2.60	1.45	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.5	2.42
	2.03	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.03)	1.98 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
50.9%

Dane Sweeny
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexis Galarneau's performance.

Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dane Sweeny might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexis Galarneau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dane Sweeny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alexis Galarneau - Dane Sweeny Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Galarneau will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Sweeny will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Galarneau is ranked ATP: 201. Sweeny is ranked ATP: 134.

Galarneau has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sweeny is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Galarneau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Galarneau will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Galarneau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexis Galarneau - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.28%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
22.04.26	Alexis Galarneau - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Rio Noguchi - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	August Holmgren - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Alexis Galarneau - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
29.03.26	Liam Draxl - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL
- Dane Sweeny
ATP Challenger
22.04.26	Dane Sweeny - James McCabe	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Dane Sweeny - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Ilya Ivashka - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Dane Sweeny - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Arthur Fery - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.09.24	Alexis Galarneau - Dane Sweeny	2:0

Alexis Galarneau - Dane Sweeny: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide