Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Ilya Ivashka		Dane Sweeny

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.41
	3	1.43
	2.77	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.77	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.82)	1.41 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilya Ivashka
33.7%

Dane Sweeny
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

73.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilya Ivashka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilya Ivashka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dane Sweeny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ilya Ivashka - Dane Sweeny Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sweeny will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ivashka is ranked ATP: 683. Sweeny is ranked ATP: 135.

Ivashka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sweeny's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sweeny will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ivashka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Marrakech
29.03.26	Ilya Ivashka - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Ilya Ivashka - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Christoph Negritu - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Ilya Ivashka - Radu Albot	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Ilya Ivashka - Felix Balshaw	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWW?
- Dane Sweeny
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Dane Sweeny - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Arthur Fery - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Andrew Johnson - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.02.26	Dane Sweeny - Beibit Zhukayev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Melbourne Great Ocean Road Open
01.02.21	Ilya Ivashka - Dane Sweeny	Canceled

Ilya Ivashka - Dane Sweeny: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide