Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Andre Ilagan		Kasidit Samrej

	1	2
			Watch
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.73	2.13
	1.64	2.12	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.95)	2.06 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andre Ilagan
54.7%

Kasidit Samrej
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andre Ilagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andre Ilagan's performance.

Kasidit Samrej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kasidit Samrej might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andre Ilagan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasidit Samrej than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kasidit Samrej could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Andre Ilagan - Kasidit Samrej Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ilagan will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Samrej will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samrej: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Samrej (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Ilagan is ranked ATP: 345. Samrej is ranked ATP: 421.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Samrej may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ilagan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Kasidit Samrej - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.66%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
03.04.26	Andre Ilagan - Liam Broady	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Yuto Oki - Andre Ilagan	Oki Y. Retired ✺
30.03.26	Yuta Shimizu - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	James McCabe - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Rigele Te - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 W?WLL
- Kasidit Samrej
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Kasidit Samrej - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	James Kent Trotter - Kasidit Samrej	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Matisse Bobichon - Kasidit Samrej	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Kasidit Samrej - Paul Jubb	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.07.22	Andre Ilagan - Kasidit Samrej	Samrej K. retired

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