Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Miyazaki, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday


	Hayato Matsuoka		Kasidit Samrej

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.6	2.15	Watch
	1.61	2.37
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.57)	2.23 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hayato Matsuoka
58.2%

Kasidit Samrej
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayato Matsuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Kasidit Samrej has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasidit Samrej than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Hayato Matsuoka - Kasidit Samrej Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 376. Samrej is ranked ATP: 421.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Samrej may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Matsuoka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Hayato Matsuoka - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Kasidit Samrej - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
26.03.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Soon Woo Kwon	Kwon S. Retired ✺
26.03.26	James McCabe - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Ognjen Milic	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Daniil Ostapenkov	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 L?WW?
- Kasidit Samrej
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Kasidit Samrej - Paul Jubb	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Kasidit Samrej - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Kasidit Samrej - Shion Motoyama	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.03.26	Kasidit Samrej - M Rifqi Fitriadi	Samrej K. retired ✺
17.03.26	Kasidit Samrej - Evgenii Tiurnev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWW?W

Upcoming Matches