Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Kasidit Samrej		August Holmgren

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.83	1.47
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.59	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.74)	1.44 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kasidit Samrej
34.9%

August Holmgren
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasidit Samrej has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasidit Samrej than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kasidit Samrej that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that August Holmgren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kasidit Samrej - August Holmgren Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Samrej is ranked ATP: 421. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 188.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Holmgren may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Holmgren will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samrej won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Kasidit Samrej - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.66%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kasidit Samrej
ATP Challenger
12.04.26	James Kent Trotter - Kasidit Samrej	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Matisse Bobichon - Kasidit Samrej	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Kasidit Samrej - Paul Jubb	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Kasidit Samrej - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLW
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
13.04.26	James Duckworth - August Holmgren	Canceled ✺
08.04.26	Pavel Kotov - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Jie Cui - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	August Holmgren - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	August Holmgren - Yuto Oki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?LWWL

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group II
17.09.21	August Holmgren - Kasidit Samrej	2:1

Kasidit Samrej - August Holmgren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide