Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday


	Andrea Collarini		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.6	1.43	Watch
	2.8	1.46
	2.82	1.42	Watch
			Watch
	2.66	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.55)	1.43 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Collarini
34.9%

Emilio Nava
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Collarini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Andrea Collarini - Emilio Nava Predictions

Users Predictions: Emilio Nava will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Collarini is ranked ATP: 202. Nava is ranked ATP: 238.

Collarini is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Nava is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nava will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Collarini won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Collarini
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Andrea Collarini - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Andrea Collarini - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
04.03.25	Andrea Collarini - Pedro Boscardin Dias	Collarini A. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.02.25	Andrea Collarini - Mariano Kestelboim	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Andrea Collarini - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WW?LW
- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	Emilio Nava - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Emilio Nava - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2 ✺
04.03.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
22.02.25	Emilio Nava - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.09.21	Emilio Nava - Andrea Collarini	0:2

Andrea Collarini - Emilio Nava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide