Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Reggio Emilia, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday


	Andrea Guerrieri		Samuele Pieri

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.31	3.53
	1.27	3.35	Watch
	1.29	3.2
	1.27	3.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)	3.37 ↑ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Guerrieri
72.4%

Samuele Pieri
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Guerrieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Samuele Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Andrea Guerrieri - Samuele Pieri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 248. Pieri is ranked ATP: 463.

Guerrieri is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pieri's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guerrieri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Guerrieri is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guerrieri won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Guerrieri
ITF Tournaments
13.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Michele Mecarelli	Mecarelli M. Retired ✺
12.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Giacomo Crisostomo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Chun Hsin Tseng	0:2 ✺
04.05.26	Franco Agamenone - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	Benjamin Kittay - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 ?WLWW
- Samuele Pieri
ITF Tournaments
13.05.26	Filip Jeff Planinsek - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Lorenzo Beraldo - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Samuele Pieri	2:1 ✺
27.04.26	Samuele Pieri - Max Wiskandt	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Samuele Pieri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.09.24	Samuele Pieri - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2

Andrea Guerrieri - Samuele Pieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide