Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CAMPINAS (BRAZIL), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.05	1.7
	2.21	1.72
	2.1	1.67
	2.21	1.63	Watch
	7	1.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.11)	1.59 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
36%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Pellegrino's form might have worsened.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Camilo Ugo Carabelli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Pellegrino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Andrea Pellegrino - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrea Pellegrino will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

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Preview

Pellegrino is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ugo Carabelli is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Ugo Carabelli to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pellegrino won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
06.10.23	Orlando Luz - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
04.10.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
02.10.23	Marco Trungelliti - Andrea Pellegrino	Trungelliti M. retired ✺
25.09.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Dennis Novak	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WW?WW
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
06.10.23	Jose Pereira - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
04.10.23	Guido Andreozzi - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
03.10.23	Igor Gimenez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.06.21	Andrea Pellegrino - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1
01.06.21	Andrea Pellegrino - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1

Andrea Pellegrino - Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide