Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANTA FE 2 (ARGENTINA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 October 2023, Monday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Jan Choinski

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	2.22	1.61
	1.79	2.07
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.76	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.4)	1.92 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
51.1%

Jan Choinski
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Pellegrino's performance.

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jan Choinski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Pellegrino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan Choinski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Andrea Pellegrino - Jan Choinski Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Choinski will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pellegrino: 71.3% – 100%.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Choinski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pellegrino won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
11.10.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
10.10.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Guido Andreozzi	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
06.10.23	Orlando Luz - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
04.10.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWW
- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
13.10.23	Federico Coria - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
12.10.23	Hugo Dellien - Jan Choinski	Dellien H. retired ✺
10.10.23	Thiago Monteiro - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
04.10.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
02.10.23	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 L?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.10.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Jan Choinski	2:1
29.04.19	Andrea Pellegrino - Jan Choinski	Choinski J. retired

Andrea Pellegrino - Jan Choinski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide