Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MURCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 21 March 2024, Thursday


	Marco Trungelliti		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.38
	1.61	2.38
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.51	2.47	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.8)	2.32 ↑ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
59.7%

Andrea Pellegrino
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marco Trungelliti's performance.

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Pellegrino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marco Trungelliti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Pellegrino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Marco Trungelliti - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Pellegrino will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Trungelliti is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pellegrino is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pellegrino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Trungelliti will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Trungelliti won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
19.03.24	Javier Barranco Cosano - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Marco Trungelliti - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Kamil Majchrzak - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Marco Trungelliti - Mohamed Safwat	2:1 ✺
06.03.24	Marco Trungelliti - Thomas John Fancutt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWWW
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
19.03.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
13.03.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
11.03.24	Timofey Skatov - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
24.02.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Francisco Comesana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.10.23	Marco Trungelliti - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2
02.10.23	Marco Trungelliti - Andrea Pellegrino	Trungelliti M. retired

Marco Trungelliti - Andrea Pellegrino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide