Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BUENOS AIRES 2 (ARGENTINA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 10 October 2023, Tuesday


	Thiago Monteiro		Jan Choinski

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.5
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.73
	1.5	2.5
	1.48	2.51	Watch
	1.49	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (2.02)	2.55 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
63.3%

Jan Choinski
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thiago Monteiro's performance.

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jan Choinski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Monteiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan Choinski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Thiago Monteiro - Jan Choinski Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Choinski will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

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Preview

Monteiro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Choinski is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monteiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
08.10.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Thiago Monteiro - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
06.10.23	Hugo Dellien - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Thiago Monteiro - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
03.10.23	Gustavo Heide - Thiago Monteiro	Heide G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWW?
- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
04.10.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
02.10.23	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
25.09.23	Jan Choinski - Duje Ajdukovic	1:2 ✺
22.09.23	Jan Choinski - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
20.09.23	Jan Choinski - Zdenek Kolar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLW

Thiago Monteiro - Jan Choinski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide