Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rosario (Argentina) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 3 February 2025, Monday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Lautaro Midon

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2.12	1.64	Watch
	2.13	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.09	1.69	Watch
	2.12	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.91)	1.66 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
44.1%

Lautaro Midon
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Pellegrino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lautaro Midon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Andrea Pellegrino - Lautaro Midon Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrea Pellegrino will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 259. Midon is ranked ATP: 356.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Midon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Midon will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
02.02.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Facundo Mena - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
20.01.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
13.01.25	Gabriel Debru - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLL
- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
02.02.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
29.01.25	Lautaro Midon - Andrea Collarini	1:2 ✺
27.01.25	Lautaro Midon - Orlando Luz	Luz O. retired ✺
26.01.25	Lautaro Midon - Wilson Leite	2:0 ✺
24.01.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WL?WL

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