Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday


	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva		Lautaro Midon

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.78	1.93
	1.86	1.84	Watch
	1.81	1.87	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.84)	1.89 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
51.2%

Lautaro Midon
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Lautaro Midon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Lautaro Midon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Reis Da Silva (votes: 1 - 50%). Midon (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Lautaro Midon will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 215. Midon is ranked ATP: 260.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Reis Da Silva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reis Da Silva won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Lautaro Midon - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
20.10.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	1:2 ✺
14.10.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Facundo Bagnis	Reis Da Silva J. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLW?
- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Zdenek Kolar - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Lautaro Midon - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Lautaro Midon - Christian Garin	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.10.25	Eduardo Ribeiro - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Lautaro Midon	2:0
04.03.25	Lautaro Midon - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1
02.02.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Lautaro Midon	1:2
08.10.24	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Lautaro Midon	0:2
16.06.22	Lautaro Midon - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	1:2

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