Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Punta Del Este (Uruguay), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Lautaro Midon

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.69	2.24
	1.71	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.54)	2.09 ↓ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
55.1%

Lautaro Midon
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's form might have worsened.

Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lautaro Midon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lautaro Midon Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Barrios Vera will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Midon will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midon: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 152. Midon is ranked ATP: 394.

Recent matches Barrios Vera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Midon is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Midon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Barrios Vera will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
23.01.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
21.01.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
07.01.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Tristan Boyer	1:2 ✺
06.01.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.11.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWL
- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
23.01.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
21.01.25	Lautaro Midon - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
20.01.25	Lautaro Midon - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
13.01.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWL

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