Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 July 2026, Tuesday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.26
	1.59	2.19	Watch
	1.63	2.20	Watch
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.62	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.54)	2.24 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
58.3%

Max Alcala Gurri
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Andrea Pellegrino - Max Alcala Gurri Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Pellegrino (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Andrea Pellegrino will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 133. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 228.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Alcala Gurri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Pellegrino - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 59.69%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Max Alcala Gurri - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.31%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Tristan Boyer - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Jay Clarke - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.06.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Pierluigi Basile	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWW
- Max Alcala Gurri
ATP Challenger
29.06.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	1:2 ✺
25.06.26	Andrej Nedic - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Sergey Fomin - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
20.06.26	Cosme Rolland de Ravel - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWW

Andrea Pellegrino - Max Alcala Gurri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide