Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	1.67	2.10	Watch
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.58	2.32
	1.68	2.33
	1.6	2.21	Watch
	1.62	2.20	Watch
	1.59	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)	2.22 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
57.8%

Andrea Pellegrino
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Pellegrino will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 86. Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 124.

In recent matches, Merida Aguilar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pellegrino is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merida Aguilar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
05.06.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Liam Broady - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
01.06.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Daniel Merida Aguilar	Cadenasso G. Retired ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ben Shelton	0:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WW?LL
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
05.06.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Pierluigi Basile	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
02.06.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Flavio Cobolli - Andrea Pellegrino	3:0 ✺
21.05.26	Marco Cecchinato - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.03.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrea Pellegrino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide