Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.71	2.19
	1.8	1.97	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.98	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.37)	1.93 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
51.3%

Vilius Gaubas
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Pellegrino's performance.

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vilius Gaubas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Pellegrino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilius Gaubas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Andrea Pellegrino - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 145. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 127.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gaubas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gaubas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pellegrino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Buenos Aires
09.02.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.02.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
04.02.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLW
- Vilius Gaubas
Davis Cup World Group I
07.02.26	Amit Vales - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Ofek Shimanov - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Martin Damm - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Chris Rodesch - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1
03.10.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Vilius Gaubas	2:0
23.04.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Vilius Gaubas	0:2

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