Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday


	Martin Damm		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.52	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.42
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.55	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.42)	2.32 ↓ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
59.8%

Vilius Gaubas
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Martin Damm, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Martin Damm - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Damm (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Martin Damm will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Martin Damm will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Damm (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Damm is ranked ATP: 177. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 129.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Gaubas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Damm might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Martin Damm - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 64.79%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Vilius Gaubas - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.21%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Martin Damm - Valentin Vacherot	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Martin Damm - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Martin Damm - Gauthier Onclin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Martin Damm - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
24.01.26	Chris Rodesch - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Vilius Gaubas - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Vilius Gaubas - Petr Brunclik	2:1 ✺
19.01.26	Vilius Gaubas - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Jason Kubler - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWL

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