Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Chris Rodesch		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.36	3.35
	1.32	3.1	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.34	2.97	Watch
	1.37	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)	3 ↑ (2.68)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chris Rodesch
68.9%

Vilius Gaubas
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chris Rodesch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chris Rodesch than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chris Rodesch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilius Gaubas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chris Rodesch - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4 Games - Rodesch (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodesch (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rodesch is ranked ATP: 209. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 129.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Rodesch is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rodesch won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Chris Rodesch - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.92%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Vilius Gaubas - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 35.08%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chris Rodesch
ATP Challenger
23.01.26	Mats Rosenkranz - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Chris Rodesch - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	August Holmgren - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Chris Rodesch - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Billy Harris - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
23.01.26	Vilius Gaubas - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Vilius Gaubas - Petr Brunclik	2:1 ✺
19.01.26	Vilius Gaubas - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Jason Kubler - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group I
02.02.25	Chris Rodesch - Vilius Gaubas	2:0

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