The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Andrea Vavassori 50.8%
Matteo Arnaldi 49.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.9%
44.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andrea Vavassori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Vavassori's form might have worsened.
Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Arnaldi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Vavassori than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Vavassori, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Arnaldi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.3%
0%
91.7%
Andrea Vavassori - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions
Users Predictions:
Matteo Arnaldi will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Recent matches Vavassori is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Arnaldi is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Vavassori could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Vavassori won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
Watch
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