Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ROME (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 8 May 2023, Monday


	Andrea Vavassori		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.8
	1.44	2.75
	1.43	2.8
	1.41	3
	1.4	2.75
	1.33	3.1	Watch
	1.39	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.48)	2.85 ↑ (2.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Vavassori
67.1%

Pedro Martinez Portero
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Vavassori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Vavassori than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Andrea Vavassori - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrea Vavassori will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Vavassori is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Martinez Portero has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Martinez Portero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vavassori will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vavassori won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Vavassori
ATP Challenger
02.05.23	Andrea Vavassori - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.23	Andrea Vavassori - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
27.04.23	Andrea Vavassori - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
25.04.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
24.04.23	Andrea Vavassori - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWW
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
01.05.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Pedro Martinez Portero	Martinez P. retired ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Arthur Cazaux - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Oscar Otte	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
04.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 ?LLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.06.19	Pedro Martinez Portero - Andrea Vavassori	0:2

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