Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Montpellier 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	07:15	beIN Sports 1
Denmark	21:15	TV2 Play
Finland	22:15	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Netherlands	21:15	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	20:15	Sport TV3
Romania	22:15	Prima Sport 4
Sweden	21:15	TV4 Tennis


	Andrea Vavassori		Ugo Blanchet

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.58	2.34	Watch
	1.66	2.33
	1.61	2.26	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.63	2.28	Watch
	1.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.73)	2.32 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Vavassori
59.1%

Ugo Blanchet
40.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Vavassori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Ugo Blanchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Vavassori than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Vavassori that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ugo Blanchet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.3%	0%	3.7%

Andrea Vavassori - Ugo Blanchet Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 12.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Andrea Vavassori will win (26 of 27 users predict this - 96.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.18% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Andrea Vavassori will win (27 of 29 users predict this - 93.1%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vavassori is ranked ATP: 282. Blanchet is ranked ATP: 174.

Vavassori is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Blanchet has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vavassori may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Ugo Blanchet - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 45.17%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Vavassori
ATP Montpellier
02.02.26	Andrea Vavassori - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
ATP Adelaide
13.01.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Andrea Vavassori - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLWW
- Ugo Blanchet
ATP Montpellier
02.02.26	Ugo Blanchet - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Ugo Blanchet - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.01.26	Ugo Blanchet - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Ugo Blanchet - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLWW

Andrea Vavassori - Ugo Blanchet