Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Montpellier 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Andrea Vavassori

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	2.15	1.72
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.89	1.79	Watch
	2.05	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.9)	1.79 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
47.6%

Andrea Vavassori
52.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Andrea Vavassori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Andrea Vavassori Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Vavassori will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vavassori: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Andrea Vavassori will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 147. Vavassori is ranked ATP: 291.

Carballes Baena has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vavassori may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carballes Baena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Arthur Bouquier	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.01.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLWL
- Andrea Vavassori
ATP Adelaide
13.01.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Andrea Vavassori - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Andrea Vavassori - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
23.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.07.17	Andrea Vavassori - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2

Roberto Carballes Baena - Andrea Vavassori