Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday


	Andrej Nedic		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.52	Watch
	2.37	1.63
	2.34	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.31	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.6)	1.56 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrej Nedic
40.1%

Matej Dodig
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrej Nedic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrej Nedic than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrej Nedic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matej Dodig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Andrej Nedic - Matej Dodig Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dodig (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 Games - Dodig (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dodig (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nedic is ranked ATP: 386. Dodig is ranked ATP: 268.

Nedic has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dodig is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dodig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dodig might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Dodig will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nedic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrej Nedic
ATP Challenger
20.08.25	Sumit Nagal - Andrej Nedic	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Nino Serdarusic - Andrej Nedic	0:2 ✺
11.08.25	Sandro Kopp - Andrej Nedic	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.07.25	Vladyslav Orlov - Andrej Nedic	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Andrej Nedic - Henri Squire	Squire H. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLL?
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
20.08.25	Alexander Donski - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Matej Dodig - Facundo Juarez	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Matej Dodig - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	Canceled ✺
ATP Umag
20.07.25	Matej Dodig - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.05.25	Matej Dodig - Andrej Nedic	2:0
ITF Tournaments
04.08.23	Matej Dodig - Andrej Nedic	2:0

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