Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday


	Alexander Donski		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3	1.34	Watch
	3.19	1.37
	5.22	1.14	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.94	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.49)	1.31 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Donski
27.6%

Matej Dodig
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Donski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Donski's form might have worsened.

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matej Dodig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Donski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matej Dodig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alexander Donski - Matej Dodig Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Dodig (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dodig (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Donski is ranked ATP: 662. Dodig is ranked ATP: 268.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Dodig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dodig is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Donski
ATP Challenger
18.08.25	Alexander Donski - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Alexander Donski - Aryan Shah	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Alexander Donski - Dominik Kellovsky	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Timofey Skatov - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Neil Oberleitner - Alexander Donski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLLW
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
18.08.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Matej Dodig - Facundo Juarez	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Matej Dodig - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	Canceled ✺
ATP Umag
20.07.25	Matej Dodig - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.07.25	Jan Choinski - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WL?LL

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