Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Andres Martin		Pablo Llamas Ruiz

	1	2
	1.62	2.2
	1.72	2.05
	1.68	2.14
	1.72	2.15
	1.76	2.04	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.82	1.95	Watch
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.8)	2.07 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andres Martin
54.5%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andres Martin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andres Martin than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Andres Martin - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Martin will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martin: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Andres Martin will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martin is ranked ATP: 280. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 355.

Martin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Llamas Ruiz is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Martin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andres Martin
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Andres Martin - Viktor Durasovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Andres Martin - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Michael Zheng - Andres Martin	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Mark Lajal - Andres Martin	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLW
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Robin Haase - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
24.07.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Llamas Ruiz P. retired ✺
22.07.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLW?W

Andres Martin - Pablo Llamas Ruiz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide